I have done a couple of posts on the boom bust nature of fish farms since the beginning of 2015. These companies are huge multinational firms that exist for shareholder profits. They are not about employee and fish 'happiness'. They are big oligopolies that tend toward market share and result in barriers to entry to individual farmers supporting their families.
Below are chunks from a couple of articles that you can read and educate yourself, as fish farms like to say, on the 'correct facts'. You make your own mind up on this point. I will put mycomments in boldface, so it is clear who is speaking.
Chilean supply pressure
Following the merger of Marine Harvest's Chilean operations with
Aquachile, it was highlighted that the deal will bring greater biosecurity for Chile.
The
move will also allow a better coordination in the market supply, since fewer
sellers will have more margin to negotiate, Giskeodegard said.
DCR: this speaks to the power of oligopolies and barriers to entry.
“Consolidation
in the selling side is definitely needed in Chile,” the analyst said.
DCR: Marine Harvest is in BC Canada. While the lower dollar should have helped Marine Harvest export into the USA, Chilean costs are lower, and they supply more frozen product into the USA.
Current
prices involve negative margins for most of Chilean players due to a
harvest increase, Giskeodegard said.
“This
will last until the supply pressure start to decline; we expect that to happen
in the first half of the year,” he said.
“However
we expect that the first months of 2015 will be marked by this excessive supply
from Chile,” the analyst said.
DCR: The point is oligopoly power. In economics terms, huge firms and cartels/oligopolies tend to less efficient markets, ending in monopolies and higher prices:
The
closure of the Russian market has been less of a problem for Marine Harvest
than some its competitors, as the company "benefits from its global sales
reach and logistical flexibility, its comprehensive contracts with long term
customers and its increasing share of salmon sold as value added products, with
less volatile prices".
Marine
Harvest has proved less sensitive to regional cost variation due to its
geographically well diversified production structure, the company said.
Despite
this, "the fourth quarter was, however, impacted by the reduction in
Russian purchasing power, high regional costs due to biological challenges in
Europe and weak prices in Americas", said Marine Harvest.
DCR:
This article is good to illustrate that fish farms are about shareholders,
not fish welfare, not sea welfare, not employees. It’s all about business.
The cost
of medication per kg harvested was 70% higher in the fourth quarter of 2014
than in the corresponding period in 2013, while the estimated exceptional cost
related to sea lice mitigation amounted to NOK 117m, compared to NOK 62m.
(In
Europe)
Exceptional
mortality losses amounting to NOK 27m were recognized in the quarter, of which
NOK 21m is included in the cost of lice mitigation. Losses from exceptional
mortality in the fourth quarter of 2013 were NOK 18m.
DCR: Marine Harvest, Cermaq and Grieg Seafood all operate in Norway, where lice have been a very big issue in the past couple of years.
Canadian results hit by lower
prices
In
Canada, increased supply from Chile suppressed prices and saw the company’s Q4
ebit decline 56.89% y-o-y, to NOK 25m. Meanwhile, harvest volumes were 6,819t,
up from 5,726t in Q4 of 2013.
The
reduction in profitability is due to a reduction in the reference price in
market currency of 26% compared to the fourth quarter of 2013.
The cost per kg harvested has been reduced from 2013, however.
“The
market for fresh whole Canadian salmon has been challenging in the period, due
to a significant increase in the supply of salmon of both North American and
Chilean origin,” said Marine Harvest.
DCR: Typically the BC advantage is shipping fresh fish and fresh fillets, something that Chile can't do. And still there were losses. With Marine Harvest operating in both BC and Chile. In other words, they play one country against the other to maximize profits.
After
a dip in supply in 2013 and the first half of 2014, the supply of North
American salmon started to increase in the third quarter.
In
the fourth quarter the increase was more than 10% compared to the same period
in 2013.
The
increase in the supply of Chilean salmon was approximately 19% in the period
compared to 2013. “The increase in salmon supply in the US market has therefore
been substantial compared to the same period one year ago, which is the driver
behind the low market price in the period,” the company said.
DCR: Do note that Norwegian companies were granted a big advantage by removal of 26% tarrif in the USA a year ago. Still they are are trying to open up farms now in the US, having floated a big bond on the stock market to raise cash. Playing one country against another, against another.
Compared
to the fourth quarter of 2013, the reference price in market currency was down
by 26%.
On
a positive note, biological costs for salmon harvested in the period decreased
by 8% compared to the fourth quarter of 2013. There was no exceptional
mortality recognized in the fourth quarter of 2013 and 2014.
Chile turns back to US
Operational
ebit for salmon of Chilean origin amounted to NOK 6m in the period, down 82.82%
y-o-y.
Harvested
volume was 16,602t in the fourth quarter, compared to 14,136t.
“The
significant reduction in market prices compared to the fourth quarter of 2013
was only partially mitigated by favorable cost development, good market
performance and volume increase,” said Marine Harvest.
The
Urner Barry reference price for Chilean salmon was down by 13% compared to the
fourth quarter of 2013 due to increased supply in the North American market.
“Even
if all European salmon origins, with the exception of Faroese salmon currently
is banned in Russia, the lack of customer guarantees and the sudden reduction
in the Russian purchasing power distorted Chilean sales to this market in the
period,” said Marine Harvest.
DCR: So Marine Harvest, with farms in Norway which Russia has blocked, still has sales to Russia from Chile that is not part of the sanction of the western allies regarding the war in the Ukraine.
The
resulting increase in salmon supply in the US market has been substantial
compared to the same period one year ago, which is the driver behind the low
market price in the quarter, the company said.
Cost
wise, Marine Harvest said its Chilean operations performs well as a result of
good farming practices and changes in the feeding regime, “but the biological
development in Chile remains a concern”.
The
sea lice load at the end of the quarter was higher than at the corresponding
time in 2013, the company said.
DCR: Chile has ISA, too, but with low reporting, of this and other factors, Chile is acknowledged as particularly fouled ocean.
Compared
to the fourth quarter of 2013, the biological cost has been reduced by 10%.
Improvements
in the feed conversion ratio have mitigated the effect of increasing feed
prices, while good seawater growth has contributed to reduce other seawater
cost per kg. Lice mitigation costs have remained stable compared to the same
period last year, the company said.
In
the fourth quarter, the full cost per kg for a head on gutted salmon packed in
a standard box was approximately $4.50/kg, which is up by $0.20/kg from the
third quarter in 2014.
The
company has significant plans for expansion in Chile, with its deals for the
assets of Acuinova Chile, formerly part of Pescanova, as well as an agreement
to merge with Aquachile.
DCR: Merger, merger, merger.
This
asset purchase includes a hatchery, a smolt facility, 36 seawater licenses and
a primary and secondary processing facility, all located in Chile’s region XI.
The biomass included in the deal is expected to generate a harvest volume of
about 15,000t gutted weight in 2015, Marine Harvest said.
The
deal to merge Marine Harvest's Chilean business with Aquachile is considered
transformative for the sector.
On Jan. 19, Marine Harvest announced the plan, which will mean the
surviving entity will be Aquachile, which will continue to be listed on the
Santiago Stock Exchange on a stand-alone basis.
Upon
completion of the merger, Marine Harvest will own 42.8% of the combined entity.
In conjunction with the merger, Marine Harvest has agreed on a standstill
position of its ownership in Aquachile until June 15, 2016. From June 15, 2016
until June 15, 2017, Marine Harvest will have the option to acquire further
shares in Aquachile through a tender offer that at a minimum will give Marine
Harvest an ownership interest of 55%.
The
resulting increase in salmon supply in the US market has been...